Korotayev Andrey

Modelling and Forecasting World Dynamics

Москва, 2012, 360 p.

In this book the authors offer a new methodology for long-term socioeconomic modelling and forecasting based on Kondratiev long waves. The use of this methodology allows revealing points of crises, recessions, and bifurcations and thereby increases the accuracy and reliability of forecasts. The methodology is applied to the system analysis of world dynamics and construction of Russia’s development scenarios.
This work is performed as a part of the fundamental research programme of the Presidium of the RAS – “Economics and Sociology of Knowledge”.
For economists, sociologists, political scientists, politicians, business people, state officials.

РУССКАЯ ВЕРСИЯ: Моделирование и прогнозирование мировой динамики