The situation in the Middle East, North Africa and the Saharan-Sahelian Zone: Prospects for 2026
International Scientific and Practical Conference September 29, 2025
Editor: Plotnikov Nikolay
Compilator: Semyon Basinskix
Reviewer: Zakharov Valery
Москва, 2025, 104 p.
The international scientific and practical conference, "The Situation in the Middle East, North Africa, and the Saharan-Sahelian Zone: Prospects for 2026," was organized by the Center for Scientific and Analytical Information at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Experts from the Middle East, North Africa, the Saharan-Sahelian Zone, Europe, and Latin America attended the conference.
In addition to CSAI IOS RAS staff, Russia was represented by speakers from the Security Council of the Russian Federation, the Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Moscow State University, Saint Petersburg State University, the Higher School of Economics, and the Russian Orthodox Church.
This collection contains reports delivered by conference participants.
Content
Opening remarks.......................................................................................................3
Session 1. The Situation in the Middle East and Its Prospects
Al-Waheishi, A. The Peace Settlement in Yemen ......................................................8 Leiroz, L. The Soleimani Doctrine in the Middle East Post-Assad...........................13 Espinoza, M. The Threat of a Repeat of the Libyan Scenario in Nicaragua and Venezuela ................................................................................................................15
Sequera, D. Complicity in Crimes Against Iran, the Gaza Strip, and Venezuela…...19 Tkachenko, S. The Future of Energy in the Middle East and Russia's Interests: Forecast for 2026.....................................................................................................24 Tishehyar, M. The Situation in the Middle East and Its Prospects for 2026: An Iranian Perspective...................................................................................................29 Sadygzade, M. Monarchies of the Gulf: Current State and Development Scenarios .................................................................................................................................32
El-Sayed, E. The American Approach to Regional Security in the Middle East: Threats and Challenges ...........................................................................................37 Strugar, M. ISIL’s Resurgence in the Region............................................................41 Crooke, A. Is There a Future for the State of Israel? ................................................44 Nassereldine, M. The Situation in Lebanon and Prospects for 2026.........................46 Bayat, H. Iran’s Perspective on the Emerging Order in the Middle East: Assessing Israel’s Hegemonic Threats and the US Power Game………..................................51
Pelin, A. The Position of Christians in the World .....................................................54 Dzhigkaev, A. The Interconnection of Jihadist Networks in the Middle East and South Asia ...............................................................................................................58 Asalioglu, A. Turkey’s Middle East and North Africa Policy...................................61 Al-Shoufi, F. The New Middle East.........................................................................63 Session 2. The Situation in North Africa and the Saharan-Sahelian Zone and Its Prospects
Beatriz, M. The Reasons for Radicalization in the Sahel Countries: A Moroccan Perspective ..............................................................................................................68 Seddik, N. The Situation in Lybia and Prospects for Its Development.....................71 Mollaev, A. Socioeconomic Instability in the Sahel as a Factor in Terrorist Activity .................................................................................................................................75 Baldo, J. The Situation in the Sahel and Its Prospects: A Mauritanian Perspective .................................................................................................................................79 Ilevich, M. Climate Change as an Instability Factor in the Saharan-Sahelian Zone .................................................................................................................................81 Kolotov, V. The Interaction Between Asean and MENA Countries ....................86 Al-Shabandar, I. Domestic Political Situation in Iraq, Prospects for the Withdrawal of the US Contingent and ISIL’s Resurgence...........................................................93 Romanov, A. Environmental Diplomacy and the Global Water Crisis.....................96 Conclusion............................................................................................................100
РУССКАЯ ВЕРСИЯ: The situation in the Middle East, North Africa and the Saharan-Sahelian Zone: Prospects for 2026
