Oleg Bulaev, Konstantin Truevczev

Institut vostokovedeniya RAN

Moskva, 2016, 12 pages

ISBN: 978-5-89282-682-2

A vast region, including North Africa, the Sahel states and the countries of Sub-Saharan Africa, is becoming a zone of growing terrorist danger and political instability. It can turn into a zone of permanent regional conflict. Libya is the epicenter of this threat, which is also a direct danger for Europe. It is impossible to prevent the further spread of the terrorist threat and regional conflict without removing or at least neutralizing the Libyan seat of tensions. At the same time, the task of applying international efforts to solve the Libyan problem is far from simple, and in a certain sense, even more difficult that the task of confrontation with jihadist forces in Syria and Iraq. First of all, in contrast to these two Middle Eastern states, there are practically no internal actors in Libya, who would have a clear prospect of becoming a consolidating national force. The bulletin reflects the personal views of the authors. They may not coincide with the Institute of Oriental Studies (RAS) opinion.