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Вывод войск международной коалиции из Афганистана и Центральная Азия // Оценки и идеи.  Бюллетень Института востоковедения РАН. Т. 1. № 2, август 2012 Вывод войск международной коалиции из Афганистана и Центральная Азия // Оценки и идеи. Бюллетень Института востоковедения РАН. Т. 1. № 2, август 2012

Dina Maly`sheva

Withdrawal of International Coalition Troops from Afghanistan and Central Asia // Otsenki i Idei. Newsletter of the Institute of Oriental Studies, RAS. Vol. 1, № 2, August 2012

Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Москва, 2012, 8 p.

Presumable destabilization in Afghanistan after the withdrawal of International troops threatens the security in Central Asia. It can also create a number of problems connected with interrelations between the region states and Russia within the framework of existing military-political and integration institutions of CIS. Most probably, the USA will try to use in future their military bases for monitoring the situation in the region as well as their strategic rivals – Russia and China. It is expected that the USA will continue the efforts to limit Russia’s participation in power, transport, military-political projects in Afghanistan and Central Asia. In case of destabilization in Afghanistan Central Asian states will not be able to resist by themselves new threats and challenges. Russia may also face serious challenges to its security. It will demand from Russia to develop special “post Afghanistan strategy” and realize it together with SCTO and SCO.

РУССКАЯ ВЕРСИЯ: Вывод войск международной коалиции из Афганистана и Центральная Азия // Оценки и идеи. Бюллетень Института востоковедения РАН. Т. 1. № 2, август 2012